Watch New Hampshire: James Comey really may have handed the White House to Trump

Hillary Clinton has maintained an electoral college "fire wall" of Virginia, Colorado and New Hampshire, keeping her above 270.  That trio of states has made it possible for Hillary Clinton to hold onto a majority in the electoral college even without Ohio, Florida or the other swing states.

New Hampshire may be flipping.  Here are the latest polls.  Clinton still has a one point lead in the average, but the latest polls include Trump with a 1 point lead in the WBUR poll, and a 5 point lead in the ARG poll.  Trump hasn't been able to get a lead in New Hampshire before, and these aren't Remington polls.

I'll state once again that I didn't think Comey's announcement would move things quite this much.  I've been surprised.  Here's the RCP map, with no toss-ups as of now.  That puts Clinton at 273, with New Hampshire in her column.  But, NH is only barely hers.  If those new polls are right and solid, then Comey has handed New Hampshire to Trump, along with the other swing states.  That puts the electoral college at 269-269.  An electoral college tie goes to the House of Representatives with each state getting one vote.

So, do I need to crunch those numbers for you?

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