Is China Bluffing On Taiwan?

Richard Fernandez, PJ Media: Is Beijing on Borrowed Time? Is the U.S.?

Will China Invade Taiwan? Despite the recent saber-rattling, probably not any time soon.

It lacks the amphibious capacity to land the 30-plus brigades it will need to overcome the island’s defense.

“China does not appear to be currently investing in the equipment likely required for a direct assault on Taiwan, such as large amphibious assault ships and medium landing craft necessary for a large beach assault.”

Beijing’s current naval build implies that the prerequisite for taking Taipei is neutralizing the U.S. navy.

“China’s recent spate of military exercises and the PLA Navy’s focus on building large aircraft carriers, escort cruisers and amphibious transport dock (LPD) ships suggest the military, for now, is geared toward blue water naval operations and smaller expeditionary missions.”

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WNU Editor: I do not think they are bluffing. China sees a strategic opportunity, and they are taking advantage of it .... On Point: China Tests Taiwan After Biden's Afghanistan Debacle (Strategy Page).

Update #1: Is China Getting Ready To Invade Taiwan? (Lawrence Person's BattleSwarm Blog)

Update #2: Why not Luzon instead of Formosa in 2021? (Wretchard)