BBC: Ukraine: How will we know if war has started?
Everyone is trying to second-guess President Vladimir Putin's intentions in Ukraine.
The US is pulling embassy staff out as fears rise of looming conflict.
But maybe it's already started, writes security and defence expert Jonathan Marcus.
The risk of an all-out war between Russia and Ukraine dominates the headlines.
All the obvious questions are being asked.
Will Russia attack?
Is President Vladimir Putin determined upon war come what may?
Or can diplomacy secure peace?
But we cannot see inside President Putin's mind. So here's another question - how will we know when hostilities commence?
Read more ....
Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- January 26, 2022
War at what price? Russia, NATO weigh cost of Ukraine showdown -- France 24
What is the 'Normandy Format' for resolving the crisis in Ukraine? -- Christoph Hasselbach, DW
Here's what sanctions the US could impose on Russia if it invades Ukraine -- ABC News Australia
Will the lights go out in Europe if Russia invades Ukraine? -- Philippa Nuttall, New Statesman
Ukraine: What is Nato and why doesn't Russia trust it? -- BBC
Biden's Big Test: Proving He Can Rally Allies Against Putin -- Aamer Madhani and Zeke Miller, AP
‘The Russians are coming’: Sweden on edge as Russia flexes military muscle -- Louise Nordstrom, France 24
With Russia’s Ukraine build-up, NATO faces existential crisis of coherence -- Joshua Huminski, Breaking Defense
The Alarm Bells in Europe -- Michael Brendan Dougherty, National Review
Afghanistan: How the Taliban stand to benefit from Norway talks -- Shamil Shams and Masood Saifullah, DW
Be Wary of Argentina’s Latest Economic “Miracle” -- Eduardo Levy Yeyati, America's Quarterly
Burkina Faso coup: Why soldiers have overthrown President Kaboré -- Beverly Ochieng, BBC
Assad’s normalization and the politics of erasure in Syria -- Steven Heydemann, Brookings
Biden Can’t Bring Peace to Yemen While Iran Sends Weapons -- Ahmed Charai, National Interest
Biden promised a harder line on Saudi Arabia. Why can’t he deliver? -- Jonathan Guyer, VOX
The United States and Japan Should Prepare for Chinese Aggression Against Taiwan -- David Sacks, Council on Foreign Relations
How Long Can Biden Muddle Through on China? -- Joshua Rovner, War on the Rocks