Dagens: European Intelligence Warns of Potential Russian Attack on Europe in Winter 2024-2025
According to a report by the German newspaper Bild, European intelligence sources have raised concerns that Russia may launch an attack on Europe during the winter of 2024-2025.
This potential aggression is contingent on the outcome of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, particularly if the United States finds itself "without a leader" following the election.
The Presidential Transition Period as a Window of Opportunity
The intelligence source suggests that Russia could seize the opportunity during the three-month presidential transition period in the U.S., spanning from the November 2024 election to the inauguration in January 2025.
The risk is heightened if President Joe Biden does not secure re-election and former President Donald Trump, known for his criticism of aid levels to Kyiv, is re-elected.
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Update #1: Bild: Russia may attempt to attack Europe next winter, European intelligence source says (Kyiv Independent)
Update #2: German tabloid says European intelligence thinks Russia might attack Europe next winter (Ukrainska Pravda)
WNU Editor: The message from Germany's Bild (and its sources) is very clear. If Trump is elected in 2024, Russia will attack Europe.